Transcript of the above video: 

As the title of this video suggests, we are discussing Immigration being predictable in terms of policies and the way things are going to work and how things work at Thai Immigration. I'm not making this video to be negative; I'm making this video to clarify. 

So we get a lot of calls; we talk to folks and they'll say especially in the context of Business Immigration -  they will be setting up a company - and they will say "well what are the costs going to be over the course of," a lot of people will want to pursue Permanent Residence for example, they will be looking to pursue maybe even citizenship down the road, and as a result they will say, "what's this going to look like  X number of years from now? What is this going to look like next year? What is this going to look like 6 months from now?" Not just in a Business Immigration context but in a wider context of immigration generally, visas generally. It's going to look the way it's going to look. And I don't mean to be unnecessarily vague, but my point is the situation is going to evolve. I mean look if you would have told me in November of 2019 what the Immigration System would look like over the forthcoming year from that timeframe, I would have never believed you. I would have thought you were crazy, that we would have had this COVID thing and all these lockdowns. They would have zipped up Thailand, like hermetically sealed it practically, and people started barely getting in in little tranches, dribs and drabs. I mean I wouldn't have believed you, but it happened okay. And the point I am trying to make with this video is it's difficult enough, difficult may not be the right word, but it's trying enough on one's analysis or sense of predictive ability to try to figure out what is going to happen in the forthcoming year for example in Immigration. Now that's kind of the framework I tend to try to operate in and we here at the office try to tend to operate in, where we look ahead in X number of increments to try to figure out what is going to happen. But as we have seen, there are developments recently in Banking here in Thailand that are having an effect on things like Retirement Visa issuance and reissuance, things like ongoing issuance of things like Elite Visas, Destination Thailand Visas etc. These type of things happen; it evolves over time. 

The reason for this video is people get frustrated with us when they want sort of a clear and concise, exact amount of prediction on how things are going to play out as well as what the costs are going to be associated with that, and that's only possible within a certain sort of field of focus if you will. It's just not possible to completely predict exactly what's going to happen a year out in Thai Immigration or suffice it to say, let alone I guess, 3 years out or 5 years out. It's very difficult to do that. Now can we extrapolate from past experience? Yes absolutely. But can we say with 100% certainty and guarantee what the outcomes are going to be. No there is nothing in legal service that you can do that with. 

So the thing to take away from this video is just exactly what the title states. Yeah, it's possible to surmise what they are going to do but predict or guarantee what they are going to do within any kind of timeframe, is just practically impossible.